Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Simply put, our trades involve selling options in a way which gets time working for you instead of against you. Most people who buy options do so to make a profit on a rising or falling market. Unfortunately, over 88% of all index options expire worthless! The problem is, the index may go the wrong way or it may not go anywhere so the investor’s premium in the option slowly decays. As each day and hour goes by, the option moves closer to expiration reducing the time premium! A trade can be profitably made if the market is moving up, down or even sideways! This gives investors the opportunity to make money 66% of the time instead of only 33%, which is the case when you outright buy for either a rising or falling market. This means that our program has a much higher success rate than the traditional buy and sell method! We apply a mathematical model to the market to find trades that make time work for you instead of against you. This is what makes our program unique! We always try, if the opportunity presents itself to trade the market on both the upside and the downside as our program supplies the upside and downside closing boundaries of a particular expiration cycle. This also means that you are guaranteed a win on at least one trade.

The Agora Outlook’s unique trading program usually involves two different types of trades. When we first went online we focused on what we called "Long trades" which are now just called Regular trades. These trades use the program's mathematical quotient and basic rules for a trade. There must be at least a 85% probability of success registered by the program. An "ALERT" is then sent out telling people of a possible trade to be placed either that day or the following. Normally, these trades are held from expiration to expiration but can sometimes be bought back early.

Our Ultra Conservative trades have been going since the beginning of the Agora Outlook. They were used when actual mailing was the only way to send trades out to people. It was a type of trade that you could place and leave alone no matter what happened in the market. With mail outs it was hard to be able to make any changes to trades so a high probability of success was needed. We canceled our mail out program a few years ago because of the use of e-mail but because the demand was so high for the Ultra Conservative trade program we continued it. It is a very conservative way to trade the market with much lower returns but the trades have even a higher probability of success. With the volatility of the past couple of years these trades haven't even been affected. The program must give a reading of 95% plus accuracy to be able to place a trade. The average return on a trade is anywhere from 5-20% per month. An average year will see a 60%-90% return. We have changed the program a little to adjust to this extra volatility so in time it may turn out to even see higher profits!.....

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